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Fiscal & Monetary
Source: Newsmaker.id
The European Central Bank (ECB) raised interest rates on Thursday (Sept. 10)—in line with market expectations—amid concerns that rising energy prices could once again fuel inflationary pressure in the Eurozone.
The ECB raised the deposit facility rate to 2.50%. This decision matched the forecasts of nearly all economists in a Bloomberg survey, with 63 out of 64 economists having predicted the rate would reach this level.
Meanwhile, the main refinancing rate was raised to 2.65%, also aligning with market consensus. The marginal lending facility rate was increased to 2.90%, consistent with the views of all surveyed economists.
The decision comes as energy prices surge again due to the escalating conflict in the Middle East. With Brent crude trading above US$100 per barrel, there is a heightened risk that energy costs could once again drive up inflation in Europe and slow the easing of price pressures.
Investor attention has now shifted to the ECB's statements regarding the future direction of policy. Markets will be looking for clues as to whether the central bank still sees a need for further rate hikes, particularly if energy-driven inflationary pressures persist.
Newsmaker Analysis: Since the rate hike was fully priced in by the market, the euro's reaction will likely be driven more by ECB guidance on future policy. Signals of further rate hikes could support the euro, whereas a more cautious stance might trigger profit-taking. For European stock markets, the prospect of higher interest rates remains a source of pressure, as it could increase funding costs and dampen economic activity. (arl)
Source: Newsmaker.id