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Source: Newsmaker.id
Iran is signaling a greater willingness to escalate its confrontation with the United States as military and economic pressure on Tehran intensifies. Analysts say the government increasingly views escalation as one of its main bargaining tools, particularly as it tries to preserve influence over the Strait of Hormuz.
Tensions have risen after the U.S. military destroyed several Iranian oil tankers in retaliation for attempted attacks on American warships. Iran has also begun targeting U.S. military assets more directly, suggesting a shift from limited responses toward a more aggressive strategy.
Economic pressure at home is another major factor. The U.S. naval blockade has sharply restricted Iran’s oil exports, its main source of revenue, while fuel shortages, high inflation, unemployment and a weakening currency are increasing the risk of domestic instability.
Tehran is also seeking tighter control over shipping in the Persian Gulf. Iran has announced plans for a restricted maritime zone that could increase risks for vessels traveling under U.S. naval escort, potentially creating further disruption in the Strait of Hormuz.
Although Iran has left the door open to renewed diplomacy, Washington continues to rely on military and economic pressure. Both sides are now testing each other’s limits, raising the risk of a broader confrontation if either side miscalculates.
The escalation between Iran and the United States is likely to keep geopolitical risk premiums elevated in energy markets. Any further disruption to Hormuz or attacks on regional energy infrastructure could drive oil prices higher and revive global inflation concerns. Safe-haven demand for the U.S. dollar and gold may also increase, although gold’s upside will still depend heavily on U.S. interest rates and Treasury yields.(mrv)
Source : Newsmaker.id