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Source: Newsmaker.id
Tensions between Iran and the United States have intensified once again following an announcement by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) regarding the preparation of a new weapon dubbed the “Father of All Bombs.”
On Wednesday (October 21, 2026), IRGC spokesperson Hossein Mohebi stated that the weapon is being readied as a new capability to counter threats from adversaries, though its specific technical details and destructive power have yet to be disclosed. This announcement follows reports that the administration of President Donald Trump has been considering the use of the GBU-43/B—known as the “Mother of All Bombs”—to strike strategic Iranian facilities.
Tehran also claims that its missile stockpile has increased 1.5-fold since the conflict with Israel began in June 2025, while signaling a shift in military strategy toward more aggressive retaliatory strikes. The mounting threats from both sides have heightened concerns regarding an escalation of conflict in the Middle East, particularly the risk of disruptions to energy supplies and global oil trade routes.
Conclusions and Market Impact
Iran’s statement suggests that the risk of geopolitical escalation remains high, even though the existence and capabilities of this new weapon cannot yet be independently verified.
- Oil (Brent/WTI): Potential for gains if these threats evolve into actual disruptions to energy facilities or shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
- U.S. Dollar (DXY): Likely to find support from demand for safe-haven assets and inflationary concerns driven by rising oil prices.
- Gold (XAU/USD): May see increased safe-haven demand, though gains could be capped if higher energy prices reinforce expectations for elevated interest rates from the Federal Reserve.
- Global Stock Indices: At risk of downward pressure due to growing geopolitical uncertainty and concerns over energy costs.
Newsmaker Perspective: Military threats do not necessarily translate into immediate disruptions to oil supplies. However, if the conflict were to escalate significantly and strike energy infrastructure, the repercussions could ripple through global inflation, interest rate policies, and the movements of the dollar and gold. (yds)
Source: Newsmaker.id